IRAN

Brief

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Iran-Hezbollah Nexus and Lebanon’s Economic Crisis

With Iran sending fuel tankers to energy-starved Lebanon, it might seem that the regime in Tehran has stepped up to help desperate Lebanese people. However, a closer look at the dynamics of distribution within Lebanon clarifies that Hezbollah is selling most of the diesel coming from Iran at a price that is a little cheaper than the Lebanese black market but still much more expensive than the average Lebanese can afford.

Hanin Ghaddar | 10 Oct 2021
Raisi’s rise in Iran: Political and institutional developments in the wake of presidential election

This report sheds the light on recent political and institutional process and developments in Iran in the wake of the hardline candidate Ebrahim Raisi’s victory as president. These developments include an analysis of the latest political and institutional process, developments in the hardline and reform camps, and major trends in traditional and social media.

EPC | 07 Jul 2021

Featured Topic

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Raisi Government and Iran’s Covid-19 Policy Challenge

Controlling the Covid-19 pandemic has emerged as the biggest challenge for the new Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi. He has stressed that his government’s priority is to end the pandemic and that his government would use its total capacity to contain the spread of the virus by providing the financial resources necessary to import large quantities of vaccines and accelerating the pace of vaccination. However, he has not succeeded so far as Iran remains among the region’s lowest-ranked countries in terms of vaccination rate.

EPC| 08 Sep 2021
Iran’s Foreign Policy Under Ebrahim Raisi: General Directions and New Faces

The composition of the foreign policy team in the government of new Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi indicates that conservatives will have an almost total control over decision-making in Iran. Hossein Amirabdollahian was appointed as foreign minister, Mahdi Safari as deputy foreign minister, while Ali Shamkhani remained as secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council. This paper sheds light on Iran's foreign policy under President Ebrahim Raisi, and the implications of Hossein Amirabdollahian's appointment as foreign minister.

EPC| 01 Sep 2021

Scenarios

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The Leaked Interview with the Iranian Foreign Minister: Implications and Considerations of Domestic Actors

​The leaked audiotape of the Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif caused an uproar in the Iranian domestic political arena, became the talk of the town, and led to a change in the parameters of the Iranian political domain on the eve of the presidential elections, in the midst of negotiations with the parties to the nuclear agreement in Vienna.

EPC | 06 May 2021
Inflation in Iran: Facts and Scenarios

Inflation is one of the main indicators for measuring the performance of the Iranian economy. Monthly inflation rates refer to the change in the price of goods within one month. There is a slow criterion which is the total inflation within 12 months, which is an indicator of the annual performance, and the deep trend of the economic performance. The Central Bank of Iran (CBI) announced that it plans to limit annual inflation at 22 percent (with a margin of increase or decrease of nearly two percentage points), after it had reached the level of 41.2 percent in 2019, setting one of two records over the past four decades. This paper discusses inflation scenarios in Iran, in both its monthly and annual versions, over the remaining five months of the current Iranian fiscal year, in view of several influences, including the outcome of the US elections and internal developments.

EPC | 18 Nov 2020

Publications

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Strategic Report - Iran / Second Edition: The Iranian Situation in 2020

Iran Strategic Report is designed to provide an impartial and objective reading of the situation in Iran. The importance of this strategic report stems from the political, geographic and social importance of Iran and the impact of its ideological orientations and alliances on regional policies, security and stability in the Gulf region and broader Middle East. Particular importance is attached to the 2020 report given its contribution to the understanding of Iran’s question and drivers of Tehran’s behavior in this potentially decisive year in the life of the Iranian revolution amidst the preparations of the forthcoming presidential elections in June 2021, which will also be pivotal for reasons the reader will find out as she/he reads the report.

EPC | 11 Apr 2021
Iran and the Biden Administration: A Potential Return to Negotiations

Over the past four decades, the issue of relations between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States have dominated the Iranian political arena. Such is the extent of this preoccupation with America, that some argue it is more influential than all other objective and subjective factors in the politics and economics of the region.

Dr. Ebtesam Al Ketbi | 24 Feb 2021

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