Research Unit

Briefs

  • EPC | 03 Aug 2020

    Côte d’Ivoire’s Political Landscape as the Presidential Elections Loom

    On July 8, 2020, the Republic of Côte d’Ivoire (also known as the Ivory Coast) announced the death of Prime Minister Amadou Gon Coulibaly, who was the favorite to succeed President Alassane Ouattara in the elections scheduled for October 2020. Coulibaly’s sudden death marks a major turning point in the political landscape of West Africa’s economic and strategic hub, and calls for an assessment of the political horizon in Côte d’Ivoire in the run-up to the presidential elections.

  • EPC | 29 Jul 2020

    Syrian Parliamentary Elections: Indications and Objectives

    Following the recent elections for the People’s Council of Syria held on July 19, 2020, it has become clear that the regime’s sole concern is promoting its vision of how to solve the crisis and its narrative of the conflict, as though the country were not suffering a devastating decade‑long war that has seen half the population displaced and more than 90% of those remaining in Syria sink below the poverty line.

  • Hamdi Bashir | 28 Jul 2020

    New French Military Tendencies to Combat Terrorism in the Sahel Region: Motivations, Opportunities and Challenges

    Despite France’s many military counter-terrorism initiatives in the African Sahel, terrorist attacks and the influence of terrorist groups continue to rise. On March 27, 2020, nearly two months after the heads of State of France and the Group of Five for the Sahel (G5 Sahel) assembled at the Pau Summit to address this ongoing challenge, 13 States announced their support for the creation of a special European military force to support counter‑terrorism operations in the region. This has raised many questions about the drivers, opportunities, and challenges involved in the new French strategy.

  • EPC | 26 Jul 2020

    Prospects of the Political Crisis in Mali

    ​Protests escalated against the regime of Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta, President of the Republic of Mali, which is experiencing a deep and multi-faceted political crisis even as the new opposition movement has centred around the leadership of Imam Mahmoud Dicko who is one of the leading religious figures.

  • Bilal Abdullah | 19 Jul 2020

    French-Turkish Disagreements in Libya: Dynamics and Prospects

    The Turkish intervention in Libya has led to a significant change in the balances, whether between the two main military camps of the conflict, or within the same camp. Upon review of this intervention from the French perspective, it becomes clear that Paris is the international party most affected by the Turkish intervention, especially that the said intervention comes within a wider context of the growing Turkish influence in areas that represent traditional strongholds of the French influence in North Africa. As a result, the relations between the two countries have reached a high level of diplomatic tension and political and media exchanges during June and July 2020.

  • Amr Abdulatty | 18 Jul 2020

    Drop in Republican Support for Trump during 2020 Presidential Elections: Causes and Consequences

    In early 2020, Republicans in the US Senate – with the exception of Senator Mitt Romney – voted not to impeach President Donald Trump. As the scheduled date of the next presidential elections (November 3, 2020) approaches, however, not all Republicans appear to be ready to line up behind their president, who is seeking a second term. Criticism of Trump from within the Republican Party has often outstripped that from his Democratic opponents.

  • EPC | 14 Jul 2020

    The Tribal Equation and Settlement of Conflict in Libya

    Based on the available data, this paper attempts to evaluate the multiple indications that have emerged recently regarding the existence of attempts to solve the Libyan political crisis from the perspective of the principal role of tribes in the political reconciliation process instead of the regular political powers.

  • Ayman Shabana | 02 Jul 2020

    Agreement for Peace and Reconciliation in Mali: Potential Challenges and Scenarios

    June 20, 2020 marked the fifth anniversary since the Agreement on Peace and Reconciliation in Mali was signed between the Mali government, its allied militias, and the Coordination of Azawad Movements (CMA), which is dominated by the Tuareg under the leadership of Bilal Ag Acherif. Hopes were high that the peace agreement would bring an end to the Tuareg rebellion and lead to sustainable peace and reconciliation in Mali, the northern provinces of which have experienced frequent conflict since the country gained independence. The enormous challenges facing the peace agreement continue to cast doubt on whether it can ever be enforced, however.