IRAN

Briefs

  • Dr. Ebtesam al-Ketbi | 26 May 2021

    A critical juncture: an Emirati perspective on Iran’s presidential election

    The six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) are very directly affected by the fate of Iranian politics – and thus by the outcome of the upcoming presidential elections. In moving forward, the United Nations should sponsor an initiative at the regional level, with the ultimate goal of bringing Iran back into the fold of the international community.

  • Dr. Ebtesam Al Ketbi | 15 Apr 2021

    China’s Gulf Initiative and the Absence of a Regional Alternative

    Arab and international media have touted the Strategic Cooperation Agreement between China and Iran as a “game changer” that will have a significant impact on the distribution of power in the Gulf region. Visiting the Middle East, China’s foreign minister introduced a broad plan to solve the region’s various crises by targeting five key issues – most notably the crisis in relations between Iran and its Arab Gulf neighbors.

  • Dr. Ebtesam al-Ketbi | 31 Mar 2021

    Solving the Iran Impasse: A Perspective from the UAE

    Iran’s pursuit of regional hegemony has come to represent an increasingly complicated and intractable dilemma for the Middle East. Iran has neither succeeded in its aims, nor abandoned this destructive strategy; for four decades it has threatened the security and stability of the region, and the Gulf in particular, creating an impasse that now extends beyond the Middle East to affect global interests.

  • Amos Yadlin and Ebtesam Al-Ketbi | 28 Jan 2021

    The United States Must Move Forward, Not Back, on Iran

    The new administration of U.S. President Joe Biden has proposed for Iran and the United States to return to full compliance with the 2015 nuclear deal, also known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. But this prospect poses considerable risks to regional and even global security.

  • EPC | 23 Dec 2020

    Will Iran Attack American Forces in Syria to Avenge Soleimani’s Killing?

    ​There is talk in the region about arrangements and operations that Iran is preparing to carry out on the first anniversary of the assassination of Lieutenant General Qasem Soleimani, the former commander of the Quds Force of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Perhaps what raised the level of belief in the possibility of Iran's retaliation is the tweet by the Supreme Guide Ali Khamenei, posted on 16 December 2020, in which he said that "whoever ordered and carried out the assassination of Lieutenant General Qasem Soleimani must pay the price", and that "this revenge is inevitable", considering that "Soleimani's shoes are more honourable than his killer’s head".

  • Ahmed Diab | 18 Dec 2020

    Iran’s Geopolitical Loss from the Azerbaijani-Armenian Agreement

    On 10 November 2020, Armenia and Azerbaijan signed a "comprehensive ceasefire agreement" under overt Russian sponsorship and with tacit Turkish support, after the bloody battles that took place between the forces of the two countries in the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region. While most of the analyses focused on what Armenia’s defeat and Azerbaijan’s victory meant for both Turkey and Russia, evidence has shown that Iran is the biggest loser in this conflict.

  • Hamdi Bashir | 08 Oct 2020

    The Future of the Role of Iran’s Quds Force in Africa

    ​General Esmail Ghaani’s appointment as commander of Iran’s Quds Force, following the assassination of its former leader General Qasem Soleimani, has provided an opportunity for the organization to expand its role in Africa, where Ghaani has managed its operations for years. Rising US–Iranian tensions as a result of continued US sanctions and Iran’s desire for revenge for Soleimani’s death has prompted questions about the future of the Quds Force in Africa under Ghaani’s leadership.

  • EPC | 17 Aug 2020

    Assessment of Implications of Hook’s Resignation and Abrams’ Appointment as US Special Representative for Iran

    The departure of President Trump’s Special Representative for Iran, Brian Hook, and the appointment of Elliott Abrams as his replacement has raised expectations in the Iran and the wider region. This paper will examine the impact of this change within the US government on the eve of the US presidential elections.