This assessment analyzes the flaw in the Brotherhood’s thought, the strategy of their actions after the Jan. 25th revolution, their drift towards power and the desire to stay in power despite the weakness of their elite and their incompetency to rule and their failure to realize the size of public opposition against them. The assessment introduces the following three scenarios for the future of the Muslim Brotherhood: • Peaceful action and reengagement in the political process according to new and different rules; • Fragmentation and resort to organized terrorist action like what Egypt had witnessed in the 1990s; • The rise of another Islamic alternative represented by the Salafist movement, which succeeds to be the major opposition party, or a possible partner in a government coalition after the next parliamentary elections.
11 Aug 2021
11 Apr 2021
22 Mar 2021