SYRIA

Briefs

  • EPC | 29 Jul 2020

    Syrian Parliamentary Elections: Indications and Objectives

    Following the recent elections for the People’s Council of Syria held on July 19, 2020, it has become clear that the regime’s sole concern is promoting its vision of how to solve the crisis and its narrative of the conflict, as though the country were not suffering a devastating decade‑long war that has seen half the population displaced and more than 90% of those remaining in Syria sink below the poverty line.

  • EPC | 22 Jun 2020

    “The Caesar Act” and Likelihood of Dividing Syria

    The US-imposed sanctions on Syria under the so-called “Caesar Act”, which entered into force on 17 June 2020, entail the risk of partitioning Syria and changing its strategic position. This would constitute an introduction to a geographical reformulation of the country after the war had contributed to tearing its national fabric and destroying its capabilities of political recovery and overcoming the destructive consequences of the war.

  • EPC | 03 Jun 2020

    Assad-Makhlouf Dispute: Struggle for "Sect" and "People" as part of the Syrian Geopolitical Game

    Despite the impact of subjective factors in manifesting and fuelling the conflict between Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and his billionaire cousin Rami Makhlouf, this conflict has constituted a test of numerous issues and concepts in circulation both at the core of the Syrian crisis and on its surface, such as Russia’s capability to choose alternatives to Assad or the capability of any other Alawite side to replace Assad as far as the Alawite sect is concerned.

  • EPC | 17 May 2020

    Signs of Renewed Tension in Dara’a Governorate in Syria: Dynamics and Prospects

    The Syrian Daraa province is experiencing escalating tension amidst a fragile security situation and a multiplicity of actors with conflicting goals and policies. While the province is subject to a settlement deal based on a Russian guarantorship, a US understanding and regional support, the security situation in the province is prone to explosion.

  • EPC | 02 May 2020

    Will Israel succeed in “Driving Iran Out” of Syria?

    Israel’s recent intensified airstrikes against Iranian targets in Syria come within the context of a new strategy that is based on “driving Iran for good” out of Syria, which was disclosed by Israeli Defence Minister Naftali Bennett. To what extent can Israel achieve its new targets in Syria, and will its strategy be successful in driving Iran out of Syria?

  • EPC | 16 Apr 2020

    Coronavirus Pandemic and the Syrian Landscape: Risks and Possibilities

    Syria is one of the countries to which the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been transmitted. International and local reports have indicated that the epidemic is spreading in the country at an accelerating pace, resulting in infection figures that exceed the ones officially announced. This comes amidst warnings by international organizations against the serious implications that the epidemic would have, considering that the war has exhausted the country and destroyed its health and economic capabilities.

  • EPC | 31 Mar 2020

    Silent Struggle for Influence in Syria between Russia and Iran

    With the approach of an ending to the Syrian dispute, discrepancies between Russia and Iran have started to emerge in terms of the method that they should follow to achieve the envisaged strategic goals in that country. While it is illogical that they will get into a direct clash over Syria in view of the interconnected and complicated relationship between both countries, it is likely that the conflict between them over who will have the upper hand on the Syrian scene in the future will be of a silent nature, with proxies, intelligence services and perhaps some contending alliances as its main tools.

  • EPC | 17 Mar 2020

    Struggle for International Highways in Syria: Calculations of Actors and Map of Control

    For the last two years, the war in Syria has focused on the country’s roads, leading some to coin the term the “Highway War”, referring to the M4 and M5 international highways that link the country east to west and north to south.