Dr. Mark Abdollahian, CEO of “ACERTAS” and professor at the school of social science, policy & evaluations at Claremont University, gave a presentation titled: “Decoding the Future” at the fourth “Abu Dhabi Strategic Debate” (ADSD), organized by Emirates Policy Center (EPC).
This presentation centered around a model for geostrategic analysis and predictions, as well as political and economic risk assessment, which EPC adopts and employs in its analyses and recommendations.
Dr. Abdollahian said the keys to “decoding the future” were simply “knowledge, technology and science.” And added that strategists and experts in the field of planning national policies should use the framework of knowledge as a lens to examine the first element of decoding human, social and cultural behavior.
He presented two scientific platforms for decoding the future code: the first is a global early warning platform, focused on instability and extremism, similar to a system for monitoring and predicting weather conditions.
While the second platform is called “SENTURION”, which is similar to the navigation system used in air and sea transport. Dr. Abdollahian explained that “big data” available on social media, news and other sources can be utilized over the Internet to map global events as is done in weather forecasting.
He continued that, after this “big data” is collected, experts can then draw up interactive maps of the types of events taking place on the ground.
Thus, the two platforms facilitate the prediction of events and trends and forecasting new scenarios and possibilities, especially regarding issues where there are large numbers of players, several possible actions and interactions.
This is done using “game theory and behavioral economics of power, and interests and perceptions,” Dr. Abdollahian said.
The professor then concluded that we are on the precipice of decoding the future using knowledge, technology and science, to know what is possible, to answer “mission critical operational, tactical, and strategic questions, by combining advances in computational social science, big data and high-performance computing that were not available even five years ago.”
EPC had signed, Saturday night, a memorandum of understanding with “ACERTAS”, with the aim of conducting political studies, crises and risk prediction, and forecasting the future of the Arabian Gulf and Middle East region and any other related issues.
EPC | 24 Feb 2021
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