Tehran announced that it has started Uranium enrichment at 60% in a precedent that we have not seen in any previous cycles of escalation. Diplomats and experts affirm that this percentage indicates that Iran’s pursuit to become a “nuclear threshold” state puts the international community before a new reality.
This escalation could be part of Tehran’s efforts to gain more concessions from the West during talks of returning to the nuclear deal.
However, some information indicates that this issue goes beyond the negotiation game with the West and can be interpreted as part of Iran’s growing ambitions to become a nuclear threshold state. While this step reflects the desire of some sovereign entities outside the Iranian government, the latter supports this move to a great extent.
All of this has revived speculations on Iran’s nuclear breakout time and has negatively affected the credibility of the monitoring and verification system set up by the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).
Several indications have come out of Iran in recent months on the need to move towards acquiring the atomic bomb. Iranian President Hasan Rouhani affirmed that it is a matter of hours if Iran choses to enrich uranium to 90 per cent, which traditionally means reaching the “nuclear threshold”. So, what separates Iran from the “nuclear threshold” is a political decision. Iranian minister of intelligence has once said that Tehran could move in this direction if pressure continues on his country. This raises the following questions:
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Monday, June 28, 2020 from 20:30-22:00 UAE local time (from 16:30-18:00 GMT) via Zoom application.